Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000096 0.000101 0.000107 0.000113 0.000120 0.000128 0.000136
2025-01-05 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000111 0.000122 0.000135 0.000150
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000087 0.000096 0.000107 0.000121 0.000137 0.000157
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000082 0.000092 0.000104 0.000120 0.000139 0.000164
2025-01-26 0.000068 0.000077 0.000087 0.000100 0.000116 0.000137 0.000166
2025-02-02 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000100 0.000119 0.000143 0.000178
2025-02-09 0.000065 0.000074 0.000086 0.000102 0.000123 0.000152 0.000194
2025-02-16 0.000064 0.000074 0.000087 0.000104 0.000127 0.000160 0.000211
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000109 0.000136 0.000176 0.000241
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000106 0.000134 0.000175 0.000245
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000069 0.000083 0.000102 0.000130 0.000172 0.000244
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000102 0.000132 0.000176 0.000257
2025-03-23 0.000056 0.000068 0.000082 0.000104 0.000136 0.000187 0.000284
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000065 0.000080 0.000102 0.000135 0.000189 0.000294
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000062 0.000077 0.000098 0.000132 0.000186 0.000295
2025-04-13 0.000050 0.000060 0.000075 0.000096 0.000129 0.000185 0.000300
2025-04-20 0.000047 0.000058 0.000071 0.000092 0.000125 0.000179 0.000294
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000093 0.000127 0.000187 0.000317
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000094 0.000131 0.000197 0.000351
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000096 0.000136 0.000209 0.000389
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000145 0.000232 0.000467
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000056 0.000072 0.000097 0.000142 0.000229 0.000469
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000094 0.000138 0.000223 0.000462